Rj Bell's Dream Preview

Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL Player prop betting for Week 6. RJ Bell’s Dream Preview returned for NFL Week 6 with hosts Munaf Manji and SleepyJ diving into player prop bets, storylines, and betting insights. The episode opened with the duo reflecting on a surprising Thursday night upset where the Giants beat the Eagles. SleepyJ attributed the result to differing team mindsets—Philadelphia’s lack of hunger versus New York’s youthful energy and confidence. Munaf noted how rookie quarterback Jackson Dart and running back Cam Scadaboo have injected life into the Giants’ offense, while Philadelphia’s issues with offensive rhythm and underperforming stars like Saquon Barkley continue to raise concerns. Transitioning to their betting picks, SleepyJ began with a bold play on Browns rookie quarterback Dylan Gabriel to surpass 183.5 passing yards against a weak Steelers secondary, citing multiple mediocre quarterbacks who had already torched Pittsburgh for over 200 yards. Munaf supported the pick, agreeing that g

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for Week 6. (RJ Bell 0:05–4:28) RJ Bell opened by calling it their most pick-heavy show yet and promoted Pregame’s 90-day all-access deal, covering every NFL and college pick through mid-January plus NBA from Mackenzie Rivers, who’s sustained 56.9% wins over four seasons. Steve Fezzik is up 52 units in college football, Good Fella up 20 in all sports, making this the best seasonal value. (Steve Fezzik 4:29–5:07) Fezzik’s best bet: Detroit +2.5 at Kansas City. He rated the Lions 1.5 points better on power numbers, calling it a “much better spot” since Detroit coasted versus Cincinnati while Kansas City drained energy Monday night. (RJ Bell 5:08–10:31) Bell warned Detroit’s banged-up secondary could be exposed but agreed the line overrates the Chiefs. He cited Dan Campbell’s only coaching weakness—two straight road games five points below his usual ATS—but Fezzik said travel was short and rest ample. Bell’s data showed Detroit faced the 27th-easiest

Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk college football betting for Week 7. Best bets as always. (0:06 - 0:30, Speaker 3) The show opened with a fierce call to action: “Offense, play fast. Defense, swarm and tackle.” The repeated demand to “Leave no doubt tonight!” captured urgency and confidence, setting a competitive tone. (0:30 - 2:20, Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith) Griffin Warner introduced the Week 7 betting breakdown, starting with Texas’ collapse. Lonte Smith said, “They got Sark and the offensive line coach arguing,” pointing to dysfunction and lack of rhythm despite defensive effort. He warned that in the SEC, “You can’t bury yourself in tears—you’ve got to get back up.” (2:20 - 4:49) Reviewing bets, Smith admitted his UAB pick failed because “they were down six starters on defense.” Warner added that early bets can miss late-week injury news, stressing patience in timing wagers. (4:50 - 11:40, Oklahoma vs. Texas) Warner previewed the Red River rivalry, noting Texas dropped from -3.5 to -1. Smith said

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL recap for Week 5. [RJ Bell (0:06–0:20)] opened in disbelief over Arizona’s collapse. [Steve Fezzik (0:20–1:05)] vented, “I had Arizona and Indy… easiest winner ever. And yet somehow it lost,” showing frustration with improbable losses. [Bell (1:15–1:52)] called it “two or three things that were a hundred to one each,” defining its absurdity. [Fezzik (2:24–3:08)] blamed player arrogance—“Hand the ball to the referee”—as Arizona, up 21–6, fumbled twice, turning a 99% win chance into defeat. [Rivers (3:08–3:24)] confirmed a 98% win probability even post-turnover. [Bell (5:08–6:04)] said Arizona’s average win rate was 89%, second-most unlikely loss in a decade. [Fezzik (6:29–7:48)] slammed coaching “incompetence” for running three times and punting, gifting Tennessee a comeback. [Bell (7:49–9:37)] added metrics: –24 kickoff yards, –7 in turnovers plus sacks, yet 45% success rate vs Tennessee’s 37%, proving superior play undone by mistakes. [Fezzik (9:53–10:15)]

Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL player props for week 5. Munaf Manji (0:16 - 0:58) opened by welcoming listeners to the NFL Week 5 props edition, promising four picks each, touchdown props, and a final best bet. He highlighted last week’s success going 3-1 and cashing Bo Nix’s passing yards over, setting momentum for this week. SleepyJ (0:59 - 1:15) returned after a busy week, eager to deliver winners. Munaf (1:17 - 1:50) stressed their 3-1 record on best bets and shifted to quarterback props. SleepyJ (1:51 - 3:23) started with Tua Tagovailoa under 32.5 passing attempts, noting Miami’s offense fares worse when Tua throws more, pointing to past losses tied to higher attempts. With Tyreek Hill out and Carolina better attacked on the ground, he expected “more HN, less Tua.” Munaf (3:23 - 6:51) agreed Miami should run more without Hill’s deep threat. His QB prop was Baker Mayfield to throw an interception vs. Seattle, citing the Seahawks’ ball-hawking defense that intercepted Purdy, Rodgers, and Murray twice ea

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL week 5 betting. Best bets as always. RJ Bell (00:00–06:15) opened the discussion by setting the stage for NFL Week 5 betting analysis. He stressed the importance of contextualizing performances with both player and team-level statistics. At one point he stated, “This season has shown us how much variance there can be week to week,” underscoring that bettors must balance single-game data with longer-term trends. His remarks highlight the volatility of early-season NFL lines and the danger of overreacting. Steve Fezzik (06:16–14:40) provided the first set of deep insights by breaking down specific matchups. He highlighted quarterback efficiency metrics, noting that certain players had completion rates under 60% despite inflated passing yard totals. He explained that this discrepancy signals inefficiency, saying, “Yards don’t always tell the story — accuracy and drive results matter more.” Fezzik further analyzed how team-level statistics like third-down conve

Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk College Football betting for Week 6. The guys also give out best bets. [Griffin Warner] (0:31 - 1:18) introduces the show, noting his co-host Lonte Smith’s winning Illinois pick against USC and his own losing Ole Miss bet. He asks Lonte about his weekend and expectations ahead. [Lonte Smith] (1:19 - 2:39) reflects on Illinois’ fight despite red-zone fumbles and missing starters. He highlights USC’s injuries, such as Jacoby Lane’s reduced impact, and says Illinois delivered value for bettors. He’s optimistic but cautious about consistency. [Griffin Warner] (2:40 - 3:23) transitions to Kansas State vs. Baylor, with Kansas State 6.5-point underdogs. [Lonte Smith] (3:24 - 5:38) says Kansas State looked sharper after adjustments, particularly by running Avery Johnson, which opened their offense. Baylor, meanwhile, squandered a 14-0 lead and showed defensive weaknesses. He predicts points on both sides and leans toward Kansas State. [Griffin Warner] (5:38 - 6:10) asks if Kansas

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers recap NFL Week 4. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Munaf Manji and Lonte Smith talk NFL Week 4 player props betting. [Munaf Manji] introduced props across positions. [Lonte Smith] began with Tua Tagovailoa over 243.5 yards Monday night, noting “he’s averaged 254 against the Jets” and McDaniel will push him after Miami’s 0-3 start. [Munaf Manji] agreed, adding urgency for Tua and coach jobs. His QB prop targeted Jordan Love’s longest completion over 38.5, citing Dallas’ defense surrendering multiple 40+ plays: “it just takes one pass.” [Lonte Smith] agreed, naming WR Golden as likely to hit. At RB, [Lonte Smith] chose Jameer Gibbs under 64.5, stressing Cleveland’s rush defense at 57.3 yards allowed per game and Henry held to 11-for-23. [Munaf Manji] agreed, noting Browns allow only 2.25 yards per carry. His RB pick was Ashton Gentry over 63.5 vs Chicago, pointing to Bears’ 5.34 YPC allowed, with Gibbs and Javonte Williams torching them. [Lonte Smith] called it Gentry’s “coming out party.” At WR, [Lonte Smith] pushed Nico Collins over 71.5 yards, citing big ga

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for week 4. RJ Bell 00:00–04:00 opened by framing NFL Week 4 picks, noting how public perception often swings too far based on recent performances. He stated, “It’s about not overreacting to one week,” emphasizing the importance of context and long-term data. His point set the tone: bettors must resist emotional reactions and focus on underlying team quality. Steve Fezzik 04:01–12:30 highlighted specific matchups and player stats. He pointed out, “Kirk Cousins has five touchdowns and only one interception this year,” framing Minnesota’s offense as efficient despite their record. He contrasted this with turnovers, explaining how short fields impact team stats. His analysis suggested that Minnesota’s fundamentals remain strong, and that the betting market might undervalue them. Scott Seidenberg 12:31–20:00 broke down trends. He said, “Favorites are only covering at 38% through three weeks,” which underscored the importance of considering underdogs ear

Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk CFB betting for Week 5. [00:00 | Speaker 3] The discussion begins with intensity: “Offense, play fast. Defense, swarm. Swarm and tackle.” The repeated demand to “out-block, out-tackle, out-hit, out-hustle” and “Leave no doubt tonight!” frames a theme of urgency and dominance. [00:45 | Griffin Warner] Griffin introduces the Week 5 show, joking about Vanderbilt’s surprising success and admitting their bets went 0-2 after a 2-0 streak, showing how volatile the season can be. [02:10 | Lonte Smith] Lonte reflects on UConn: “The UConn play was the wrong side,” noting they had chances but “couldn’t capitalize and couldn’t stop Kelly on the run.” He highlights Vanderbilt scoring 72, their most since 1918, underscoring how explosive games can get. [05:30 | Griffin Warner] Alabama vs Georgia comes up with Alabama +3 and total 52. [06:15 | Lonte Smith] Lonte stresses “My number is exactly three,” pointing to both teams’ weak pass rush. Georgia ranks outside the top 100 in EPA per p

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL recap for week 3. RJ Bell (0:06–0:28) opened the Week 3 recap with Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers, pointing straight to the Rams’ late collapse. Steve Fezzik (0:28–0:37) vented, “Shitty RJ, shitty from the Rams … in the goddamn fucked up end game,” showing how devastating the ending was. RJ Bell (0:37–1:20) argued the odds of the result were “astronomical,” rejecting the idea it was routine. Steve Fezzik (1:20–2:29) explained the math: only a 0.3% chance of a blocked kick returned for a touchdown, calling it a once-in-hundreds scenario. RJ Bell (2:50–4:14) reminded listeners the Rams had a 99% chance to cover for most of the second half and 99.9% on the final snap. RJ Bell (4:57–5:56) noted only two teams lost with over 50% average win probability: the Rams at 63% and Packers at 66.2%. Mackenzie Rivers (8:53–8:57) confirmed the Rams’ average win chance was still just 59.5%, proof of how sudden the collapse was. RJ Bell (10:15–10:57) highlighted the Rams

Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL player props for Week 3. NFL Player Props – Week 3 [Opening Segment] (timestamps vary by section) The discussion centers on betting angles for Week 3 player props, with analysts pointing out favorable matchups and statistical trends. Direct quotes reveal a focus on efficiency and expected production. For example: “You have to look at how many times he’s being targeted in the red zone, that’s where the value comes in.” This emphasizes the importance of opportunity over pure yardage totals when evaluating props. [Quarterbacks] Attention is given to pass attempts and touchdowns. One speaker highlights: “Daniel Jones is averaging nearly 35 pass attempts per game, but the efficiency is what’s holding him back.” This implies that volume alone does not guarantee fantasy or betting success—completion rates and game scripts matter. [Running Backs] Breece Hall is scrutinized for underwhelming production despite decent yards-per-carry averages. “He’s sitting at 4.7 per carry, but w

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for week 3. Dream Podcast – NFL Week 3 Picks Breakdown [Steve Fezzik] (0:00 - 0:04) opens abruptly, his words more like a countdown rhythm, setting a casual yet energized tone. [RJ Bell] (0:06 - 0:42) quickly frames the session with enthusiasm, declaring, “Fez was strong on this one. Acme. Just think Acme is the key word.” He underscores the rarity of what’s being offered, stressing this is one of only “four times in the year” where buyers can get unusual value. His analysis implies urgency and scarcity, pressing listeners to act. [Steve Fezzik] (0:43 - 0:48) confirms, “Normally the best deal is you buy for 10 bucks, you get $50 that’s offered like once a year.” The importance is clear: maximizing bankroll through this offer is a bettor’s edge. [RJ Bell] (0:48 - 1:57) elaborates, repeating “10 gets you 50” while comparing bulk dollars to currency that “never expires.” He emphasizes, “You can spend bulk dollars just like cash never expires,” framing

Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk CFB betting for Week 4. Early Reflections (0:32 – 4:26) Griffin celebrated the “first 2-0 of the season.” Lonte added, “Great weekend for us going 2-0… all the big games delivered.” Griffin recalled missing Tennessee-Georgia moments at an Arkansas watch party, while Lonte defended his Southern Miss pick, saying they “dominated this game” over App State. Market Volatility (4:27 – 6:40) Griffin called college line swings “chaos compared to the NFL or MLB.” Lonte noted CLV matters only “55% on three-plus moves.” Utah vs. Texas Tech (6:40 – 11:07) Utah’s “60% rush success rate” and Morton’s road issues (“80 grade at home, under 60 away”) led Lonte to lean Utah/under, projecting “23-20.” Griffin agreed: Utah -3. Michigan vs. Nebraska (11:43 – 14:33) Underwood’s 114 yards, 2 TDs boost Michigan vs. Nebraska’s weak run defense (“outside top 120 EPA”). Lonte leaned Huskers as home dogs; Griffin backed that angle. Auburn vs. Oklahoma (16:09 – 19:13) Auburn’s defense “first

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers dive back into NFL week 2. [Rj Bell] (0:06 - 0:20) opens the Monday recap by admitting he dislikes working before noon but stresses flexibility. [Steve Fezzik] (0:20 - 0:31) jokes about birthdays and health, while RJ underscores his credibility: “When you’ve got over 10 years of grinding, then if you say you’ve got something, you’ve got something.” Fezzik explains his viewing method with Red Zone plus one focus game: “That red zone is the nuts…you never miss out on a key highlight.” Yet he concedes, “You don’t get to see what’s going on in midfield,” showing how context can be lost in highlight coverage. [Steve Fezzik] (5:06 - 5:48) highlights Eagles vs Chiefs, calling it a “phony final.” Philadelphia won 20–17, but “Kansas City won the stats and lost the game.” The Chiefs outgained the Eagles by 80 yards and in yards per play. Travis Kelce dropped a would-be touchdown, intercepted for a seven-point swing. Kelce’s 4 catches for 61 yards reflected diminished speed.

NFL Week 2 Player Props: Expert Picks and Best Bet Best Bet Sleepy J (30:04 – 31:55): Declares Brees Hall over 58.5 rushing yards. “He looks like a top five running back in the league right now,” praising his burst after injury. Munaf (31:55 – 34:08): Backs it with stats: 19 carries, 107 yards, 5.6 per attempt. He notes Fields’ rushing threat reduces defensive pressure on Hall. Closing Thoughts Sleepy suggests the game total of 46.5 could go over if the Jets offense continues to shine. Munaf agrees this matchup will reveal whether New York’s Week 1 surge was real or Pittsburgh’s defense was weak. Both close by promoting Pregame.com’s newsletter and coupon code PROP20 for 20% off. Final Props Recap QBs: Kyler Murray under 216.5; Trevor Lawrence over 239.5. RBs: Travion Henderson over 54.5; James Conner over 64.5. WRs: Garrett Wilson over 59.5; CeeDee Lamb over 78.5. TEs: Juwan Johnson over 3.5; Brenton Strange over 33.5. Best Bet: Brees Hall over 58.5 rushing yards. Learn more about your ad choices

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for Week 2. NFL Week 2: The Picks Breakdown [RJ Bell] (0:05 - 3:09): “Alright guys, just finished up.” He immediately introduced the night’s action, noting a major play on Washington at +3.5 from South Point and +3 at even money elsewhere. His breakdown emphasized confidence in the pick, urging listeners to follow the reasoning provided throughout. He also highlighted Steve Fezzik’s hot streak, up 32 units already this season, and A.J. Hoffman’s consistent multi-year success. This was used to reinforce credibility and demonstrate sharpness in market reads. [Steve Fezzik] (3:09 - 3:19): “Pick them to win outright.” He argued the bet was justified given the game flow, explaining it would predictably settle within a narrow margin. His comment underscored the razor-thin line between winning and losing in close spreads. [RJ Bell] (3:19 - 3:49): “But, once again, if they would have went for it down on, what was it, like the 15? Yeah, could have had a

Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk CFB betting for week 3. Game Previews Georgia at Tennessee (6:05 – 12:39) Line: Georgia -3.5 (down from -7.5). Smith: “I don’t really trust Gunner Stockton… it’ll be a run heavy approach on both sides.” Stat: Georgia top 10 in rush success rate. First-time road starters are 3-10 straight up, 3-9-1 ATS. Lean: Under 49.5, with Tennessee backers getting value if they grabbed +7. Clemson at Georgia Tech (13:33 – 15:59) Line fell from -9 to -3.5. Smith: “This is a good buy low spot for Clemson.” Concern over GT QB Haynes King’s health and their 91st-ranked pass success rate. Clemson’s defense and potential WR return could tilt the matchup. Florida at LSU (17:24 – 23:12) Line: LSU -7, total 48.5. Florida’s discipline issues showed with 11 penalties for 101 yards. Smith: “Under would be the only way I would look.” LSU’s defense is improving, while QB Lagway’s success depends on teammates cleaning up mistakes. Texas A&M at Notre Dame (23:13 – 30:33) Line: Notre Dame

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Week 1 recap. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices